Underpinning Helfstein’s bright outlook is the assumption that Americans will keep spending — and his hope that the rate of inflation will ease. If these factors support continued GDP growth, that ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has once again cautioned the world that a US recession could be on the cards in 2026, even at a time when country's economy has shown resilience with 3.8% GDP growth in ...

The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet a growing body of state-level data suggests a very different ...

Markets continue to advance despite continuing concerns around valuations, inflation, and the deteriorating jobs market. Economic growth is primarily being driven right now by a surge of tech spending ...

After Q3 GDP surged 4.3%, traders are already betting on a slowdown. Prediction markets price weaker Q4 growth.

The unrelenting American consumer spends through a sour mood and a cooling labor market.

I expect the S&P 500 to end 2026 flat at 6,827, with a mild to moderate recession likely in the next 2–6 months. Read more about the market outlook here.

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