Underpinning Helfstein’s bright outlook is the assumption that Americans will keep spending — and his hope that the rate of inflation will ease. If these factors support continued GDP growth, that ...

The US economy has been in something of a Through the Looking Glass era for the past few years: Nothing is as it seems. In terms of inflation and the labor market, there’s been a curious disconnect ...

If all remains well with the US economy in 2026, investment bank Stifel sees 9% for the S&P 500. If it doesn't, prepare for a ...

The unrelenting American consumer spends through a sour mood and a cooling labor market.

After Q3 GDP surged 4.3%, traders are already betting on a slowdown. Prediction markets price weaker Q4 growth.

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Goldman Sachs' (NYSE:GS) seesaw recession predictions on April 9 are a clear indication that much remains unclear when it comes to the possible implications for the US economy. That day, the firm ...

The odds of the U.S. entering a recession in 2025 have plummeted sharply on prediction platforms, aided by a de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict. As of this writing, bookmakers have ...

Recession indicators are everywhere, but will they all amount to a hill of beans? Americans are on the lookout for signs of a recession. The signs have been with us, depending on whom you ask, pretty ...

The University of Hawaii think tank UHERO predicts that a mild recession in Hawaii will take place, followed by a weak recovery starting in 2026. The University of Hawaii Economic Research ...

No one can tell the future, but UHERO researchers have an idea of what's in store for Hawaii's economy. What's their ...