The probability of worsening frailty increases over time, but targeted strategies might delay or reverse this progression, ...

After Q3 GDP surged 4.3%, traders are already betting on a slowdown. Prediction markets price weaker Q4 growth.

Learn how prior probability informs economic theory and decision-making in Bayesian statistics. Understand its role before collecting new data.

Get a $10 Bonus with the Kalshi Promo Code GOAL! Trade prediction markets on NFL games and NBA matchups starting at 1:00 PM ET today (12/20).

ETFs now hold more than 1.3 million coins, representing roughly 6% of all mined BTC. This institutional demand has taken ...

Discover the hidden global risk threatening AI and tech dominance. Learn how to reposition your investments before market ...

Two cosmic collisions near the star Fomalhaut solve the mystery of a disappearing "planet" and show rare planetesimal crashes ...

Users of Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction platform, can now wager on military developments inside Ukraine using ...

But a new working paper suggests that the conventional wisdom is wrong, at least in Taiwan, where the birthrate is one of the ...

Every 22 seconds, briefly in the low Earth orbit, there are two satellites moving close, less than a kilometer apart. For ...

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and Tyjae Spears are both in split backfields, but with explosive upside. One player is a much better ...

Discover the base rate fallacy's impact on investing decisions. Learn how overlooking this cognitive bias can lead to financial misjudgments and market misconceptions.