Opinion

A better CAPE ratio

Our results indicate that the Component CAPE ratios consistently generate more accurate return predictions than the traditional CAPE ratios. In our baseline tests, the average OOS R 2 from the ...
There are many reasons why psychological treatments aren’t more effective. In principle, misdiagnosis is the easiest of them ...
GPT-5.2 Pro delivers a Lean-verified proof of Erdős Problem 397, marking a shift from pattern-matching AI to autonomous ...
AI is quietly poisoning itself and pushing models toward collapse - but there's a cure ...
Creative inventions and ideas that show next-level thinking. Terror charge filed in Jan. 6 case I asked 3 restaurant pros to name the most annoying thing diners do ...
S&P 500 high P/E doesn’t reliably forecast weak returns—learn why popular charts mislead and how rates, trade, and ...
MIT researchers have identified significant examples of machine-learning model failure when those models are applied to data ...
Over the past decade, lenders like Tricolor grew quickly due to investor appetite for high-yield debt and a narrative of ...
Many in the AI community believe that the next major revolution will be the era of self-improving AI where AI can improve ...
Serhii Tyschenko, a Ukrainian combat medic, spent 472 days in a bunker. His case appears to be an extreme example of a problem that has long plagued Kyiv’s military. By Cassandra Vinograd and ...