An outcry over insider trading erupted after one Polymarket user made $400,000 betting that Maduro would be ousted, hours before it happened. Here’s why the godfather of prediction markets thinks it's ...

Master the prediction markets in the run-up to the 98th Academy Awards. Learn to spot Golden Globe overreactions on Kalshi and Polymarket, find mispriced value and trade the 2026 Oscar race.

Researchers have created a prediction method that comes startlingly close to real-world results. It works by aiming for strong alignment with actual values rather than simply reducing mistakes. Tests ...

Google Ads has introduced a new metric — “Conv. value (incl. predicted)” — without any official announcement or documentation, sparking curiosity among advertisers. Why it matters This subtle addition ...