Fed Risks a Recession if It Doesn’t Cut Rates Rapidly, a Top Official Warns

Stephen I. Miran, the newest member of the central bank’s Board of Governors, thinks some of his colleagues are too worried about inflation.

U.S. Recession Probability Falls After Fed Resumes Rate Cuts, Set To Fall Further

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be ...

Major bank raises red flag on US economy — warns of 93% chance of recession based on ‘hard data.’ Here are 5 crucial money moves you need to make now

Recently, global investment bank UBS announced that, after crunching some “hard data” from between May and July 2025, there’s a 93% chance of the U.S. entering a recession this year [1].
WGBH

Is a recession coming? What the numbers tell us about where our economy stands

How is the economy doing? It’s a question that many of us are asking, given all of the uncertainty created by President Trump’s tariffs. Should we spend money or tighten our belts? The answer to that ...
WUFT

Is all this talk of recession indicators a sign a recession is coming?

For months, people have been talking about indicators of the dreaded R-word: recession. There have been the usual suspects: economists, investors, businesspeople and journalists. But maybe the most ...
NPR

Is a recession coming? What the numbers tell us about where our economy stands

NPR's Ayesha Rascoe asks Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist for New Century Advisors, what the latest job figures tell us about the state of the economy. How is the economy doing? It's a question that many ...