Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios
Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...
The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in this range is only 0.02% higher than the probability of the 1% to 2% range.
Monte Carlo simulation of 10,000 paths shows 60% of scenarios place XRP between $1.04 and $3.40 by December 2026. The median outcome is $1.88 while only 10% of scenarios exceed $5.90. Downside tail ...
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