Just small changes in starting conditions can result in big changes to forecasts,” said Ken Mylne, Met Office Science Fellow ...
Scientists have created a novel probabilistic model for 5-minutes ahead PV power forecasting. The method combines a convolutional neural network with bidirectional long short-term memory, attention ...
Met Office on MSN
Why probability is the key to future weather forecasts
Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.
Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a popular ensemble-based postprocessing approach where the weighted average of the individual members is used to generate predictive forecasts. As the BMA formulation ...
An international research group has developed a novel intraday probabilistic forecast method for surface solar radiation. The new methodology, dubbed SolarSTEPS, is reportedly the first probabilistic ...
A monthly overview of things you need to know as an architect or aspiring architect. Unlock the full InfoQ experience by logging in! Stay updated with your favorite authors and topics, engage with ...
Learn to apply Bayes' theorem in financial forecasting for insightful, updated predictions. Enhance decision-making with effectively modeled probabilities.
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